June 29, 2009
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Tags:Further expectations of a global recovery seem to be increasing but this expectation seems to be tempered that a turnaround will not be quick. What seems to be happening is that many investors are seeing a potential bottom developing. The further distressed results from national economies and large businesses show how far the global economy likely has to go before it will return to positive and healthy growth: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/May-rally-for-energy-prices-apf-15262114.html?sec=topStories&pos=8&asset=&ccode=.
Much of this can be seen when looking at what has happened with crude oil, as explained in the above link. Prices are higher but that is primarily because refineries have been lessening production due to the lower demand.
One other sign from this article is that more Americans will travel over this Memorial Day this weekend when compared to last year. Most expectations peg the summer travel season as disappointing because the number of people who will travel will likely decline.
This can be seen that economic factors may start to move in a horizontal manner with some positive and some negative results. The dealer cuts that Chrysler has just enacted can result in more job losses although the number is unclear since some dealerships may shift to selling used cars. Employee ranks would likely shrink so there would be a net loss of jobs.
Some experts are taking even more negative views of how the economy will perform over the next decade: http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ticker/article/248398/"The-Worst-Is-Yet-to-Come"-If-You're-Not-Petrified-You're-Not-Paying-Attention?tickers=^DJI,^GSPC,DDR,XLF,GM,RWR?sec=topStories&pos=9&asset=&ccode=. The amount of debt will impact growth to such a degree that living standards will not be able to increase according to this expert.
All of these factors must be weighed but it is important to keep up with this especially as you may be thinking about greater investment into real estate and business. It cannot dissuade you from making these decisions but can help keep you further informed.
Further information is coming out showing that the real estate market is still struggling. The most pertinent example of that can be seen in the government’s own estimates of how much money is going to need to be put into Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae before the end: $171.1 billion: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/05/11/AR2009051103426.html.
What could still be concerning is that if the downturn is even more extended, it would likely require more money than what the government has so far guessed that it will need for everything to be all right. The other question that will come out when looking at the future is how these two companies will work. Would they be an extension of the federal government since they were seized last year? It is hard to figure out.
It is important to think through that simply because the two companies play such a critical role within the economy. Part of what has spurred the real estate market has been the low rates that had not been seen in such a long time. These rates have started to climb some and it will be interesting to see what the Fed does. This had been a primary goal for them through the year: http://www.minyanville.com/articles/jpm-blk-Fed-fre-fnm-mortgage/index/a/22620. Rates on mortgages will increase as the chance for inflation increases. This continues to play a large role in investors’ expectations because of how money has to be printed simply to meet the growing deficit the government is running. As the stock market has improved, more money has shifted out of bonds and into stocks. This is another reason that you see mortgage rates climbing.
While the government is trying many different tactics, it seems likely that interest rates on mortgages will rise. The Fed has used almost every conceivable tool it has available so it may be hard-pressed to find new ways to bring mortgage rates down again. This may not be a bad thing because low interest rates did have an impact on the last cycle of home appreciation which is still being corrected.
When you think through your debt and how overwhelming it can be, most people decide to put their head in the sand about it. This blog has talked about that before but there are certain strategies that you can take which have not been mentioned.
The first point that is not mentioned enough is that you have to have a plan. You can not decide to take steps to reduce your debt without first devising a plan. A statement was once made that creating a plan can save you hours, if not weeks, or even months in action by being careful and planning things out. You cannot decide to quickly pay off debt.
Part of this plan will include a budget as talked about before. This cannot be overemphasized though because a budget is your plan going forward. It will help keep you at or below your income simply so that you do not get yourself into more debt going forward.
One thing that you can do that is not often talked about is selling assets. If you are struggling to make your house payment, maybe the best idea is not getting rid of other payments but rather selling your house and buying a house with a payment that can fit more easily into your budget.
You could decide to restructure payments. For some people, they may have too many payments come around the first. The mortgage is often due at that particular time. You could decide to break the payment into a bi-monthly payment so that you have more financial flexibility at the beginning of the month when you need it.
Check out what your interest rates are on different items. If you have equity, you could use that to take out a loan to pay off higher rate debt. This can give you more flexibility in your monthly budget but you must use the savings to continue to pay off more principal on your loan.
Here are more strategies that you can use: http://www.finweb.com/debt-consolidation/7-debt-reduction-strategies.html.
One of the greatest strategies as a real estate investor can be to provide outstanding customer service. This is important because it can help in generating further revenues. Think through the fact that many customers you may have in real estate may not need your services again. This does not mean that your customers do not know others who do not have a need for your services.
This can be especially true when talking about creative real estate needs. This is an area most homeowners have never experienced before so outstanding customer service can put their anxiety to rest. If they know friends having difficulties, they will likely recommend you to their friends in a tough real estate situation because of having a good and positive experience in a difficult situation.
One of the keys when you are through with a transaction is to ask for more business. It is a simple question that can be asked and can provide a greater source of deals at nary a marketing cost.
Testimonials can be especially helpful in these situations. This be a great selling tool and comes from a third party so it strengthens your case as a good professional. Creating a video to place on a website is especially powerful. Ask customers at the end of a transaction if they would be willing to do it. It never hurts to ask.
Past customers could be future customers as well. Keep in touch with past customers. This could be through birthday cards or cards around the holidays. It only takes one repeat customer to pay for a large percentage of your marketing costs.
Customer referrals are one of the most effective marketing tools you have. It can cost less to acquire a new customer through this method and you simply have to ask your current customers for more business:
When you talk about financial burdens, most people will normally consider the financial implications and how it can be extremely hard to pay off a mortgage. This is especially true when so many people have lost their jobs and have no other way to pay off large debts. With this in mind, it is critical to also understand the other part of the equation: financial stress: http://www.bankrate.com/finance/debt/stress-as-disturbing-as-debt-itself.aspx.
The amount of financial stress has increased for a great many families with so many jobs having been lost since the beginning of the recession in 2007. This stress has broken up many marriages and severely affected the lives of countless individuals. Many families will try to cope with financial stress without turning to anyone for help.
If you find that you are struggling with financial stress, one of the best resources is to see a credit counselor to see how you can rework your financial situation. They may help in establishing a budget for you. They can help to consolidate many outstanding bills down into one manageable, monthly payment.
Use this calculator as a way to see how you do as a credit risk when creditors are looking at your profile to see if they should lend money to you: http://www.bankrate.com/calculators/smart-spending/credit-risk-assessment-test-calculator.aspx. This can help if you are wondering whether you may qualify for any loans you could use to help manage your debt. This can be a part of the picture for you. If you are struggling with your bills, you may want to look at cleaning up your credit and then working on visiting a credit counselor to work through improving your financial picture.
No stress has to be handled simply by one person. The communication helps and it is a challenge for many people to ask others for help. This can be especially true if you got yourself into a situation and want to get yourself out of that situation as well. Using a professional resource can only help expedite the reduction of elimination of financial stress.
Job losses continued to mount in April but the amount was much smaller than most analysts had expected. Job losses were roughly 539,000 which is much smaller than the job losses over 600,000 a month which had been seen in the previous six months: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Stocks-surge-on-relief-over-apf-15190320.html?sec=topStories&pos=main&asset=&ccode= .
The stress tests that the government has just completed showed that the banks would need around a $75 billion capital infusion. This is a significant amount but the market showed relief that so much uncertainty was finely quelled. There is greater confidence in the banking system even with the capital infusion that may need to happen. This can show that there is an end to the bottom of how much capital needs to be put into the system to help it fully function.
Here is an article which can speak specifically to the fact that the worst may be over: http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Evidence-piling-up-that-worst-apf-15189458.html?sec=topStories&pos=2&asset=&ccode=. Unemployment will continue to increase and likely could hit around ten percent by the time that job losses decline and jobs are eventually added. Cumulative job losses have reached 5.7 million since starting in December 2007.
One factor that this does not take into account is underemployment. Underemployment occurs when people are working at jobs under levels in which they could be employed. This could happen if an unemployed accountant decides to take a job at a fast food restaurant.
When underemployment declines, this can help because incomes will rise in areas so consumer spending can potentially increase. This is important because consumer spending does make up about seventy percent of the nation’s revenues (technically called the Gross Domestic Product).
As it has been mentioned throughout the blog posts, this is not even considering what will happen when the stimulus package begins to take effect. There is always a lag from when an economic stimulus bill is passed and when the effects are seen within the economy. It will be no different within this current recession.
Many sellers are only able to get offers right now for about 65 cents on the dollar. Most sellers do not have this kind of equity available to them and even more are not willing to accept such a discount on what a property is worth. With that in mind, here is a potential solution you can use if you are in this situation or come across the situation.
Owner financing is the name of the game. With owner financing, you can bring more potential buyers into the marketplace. There are many people who may not be able to qualify for a mortgage right now due to more stringent conditions. This could include people earning high incomes such as self-employed individuals who have been in business less than two years.
There are numerous benefits to using this method. If you have sizeable equity, this can be safer than the stock market. You will receive a guaranteed rate of return every month. You can potentially receive a better price on the property since you are offering a benefit few others in the marketplace will be offering. Most buyers who will take advantage of this offer are more worried about the payment that they will have to make than what the sale price will be. Closing costs will be significantly lower.
This does offer one main disadvantage: you do not receive the money right away. You will have to pay significantly more attention to the property potentially than if you sold the property and simply deposited the proceeds into your savings account.
In the end, you will want to have some qualifications people must meet. This would likely include a minimum income requirement potentially, a potential down payment, and a minimum credit score. This can help you get the right person in the house who you are certain will make the payments consistently every month. It is much easier to let someone in than to get them out if they stop making payments.
Whenever an investor looks at purchasing a business, one of the keys is to see how much cash flow the business is producing. Cash flow is the lifeblood of a business. What will reduce cash flow are loan payments or other fixed payments. One of the strategies that many businesses will take is to pay payments ahead. This reduces the amount of interest for a particular loan and it also frees up future cash flow.
What happens if you take this same approach? Paying down your loans will help you in several different ways. You are able to free up your future cash flow so that you can purchase other items. This could allow you to build funds more quickly for retirement. Each dollar that you put towards principal on your mortgage could save you up to seven dollars in interest.
If you have outstanding credit card debt that charges you nineteen percent interest, think about paying down this debt in a much quicker fashion. This gives you an immediate nineteen percent return because you are saving yourself that much in interest by paying more than the minimum payment!
There have been many blog posts about how you can find great deals on real estate right now. You may not be able to do it due to present debt obligations but paying down your debt obligations can put you in position to buy real estate later. It is simply a multi-step approach at this point. Create a plan to pay off your current debts and then create a plan to buy real estate.
If you simply make the minimum payment, you are not creating chances to accelerate your wealth-building activities. Paying down your current obligations will free up cash flow so that you can make your net worth increase significantly in a much quicker fashion.
When you think through what you purchase in life, it is very difficult to pay for everything in cash. Most people do not have an extra ten or twenty thousand dollars to pay cash for a car and even fewer would have a hundred thousand dollars or more to pay cash for a house. Look at the following guide on how to properly manage your debt: http://finance.yahoo.com/how-to-guide/banking-budgeting/18311.
One thing to consider when taking out debt is what kind of terms you will receive. If you can get a car loan with an interest rate of six percent while you have money invested earning higher than six percent, this is a financial win for you. You are able to get your money to work harder for you.
A major part of managing debt comes down to your budget. You have to decide what you can spend within different categories and then stick to it. This will allow you to eliminate credit card debt from occurring in the future. Your budget will also give you an indication of whether or not you can afford a certain payment every month. Use your budget to help determine the maximum amount you can afford for a car payment or a mortgage payment before you decide to buy. This can save you from financial hassles and struggles down the road.
Managing your debt wisely will allow you to save more money and have a greater monthly cash flow. This makes it easier when an emergency arises and you need access to cash. Managing your debt means that you know your limitations. Many families will overspend on houses and cars only to live with financial struggles for a long period of time. The cars and houses end up owning them instead of you enjoying and owning your car and/ or house.